Allen B. Downey Probably Overthinking It (Hardback) (UK IMPORT)

Description: Further DetailsTitle: Probably Overthinking ItCondition: NewFormat: HardbackSubtitle: How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better DecisionsISBN-10: 0226822583EAN: 9780226822587ISBN: 9780226822587Publisher: University of Chicago PressRelease Date: 12/06/2023Description: An essential guide to the ways data can improve decision making. Statistics are everywhere: in news reports, at the doctor’s office, and in every sort of forecast, from the stock market to the weather. Blogger, teacher, and computer scientist Allen B. Downey knows well that people have an innate ability both to understand statistics and to be fooled by them. As he makes clear in this accessible introduction to statistical thinking, the stakes are big. Simple misunderstandings have led to incorrect medical prognoses, underestimated the likelihood of large earthquakes, hindered social justice efforts, and resulted in dubious policy decisions. There are right and wrong ways to look at numbers, and Downey will help you see which are which. Probably Overthinking It uses real data to delve into real examples with real consequences, drawing on cases from health campaigns, political movements, chess rankings, and more. He lays out common pitfalls—like the base rate fallacy, length-biased sampling, and Simpson’s paradox—and shines a light on what we learn when we interpret data correctly, and what goes wrong when we don’t. Using data visualizations instead of equations, he builds understanding from the basics to help you recognize errors, whether in your own thinking or in media reports. Even if you have never studied statistics—or if you have and forgot everything you learned—this book will offer new insight into the methods and measurements that help us understand the world.Language: EnglishCountry/Region of Manufacture: USItem Height: 229mmItem Length: 152mmItem Width: 23mmAuthor: Allen B. DowneyGenre: Science Nature & MathItem Weight: 481gType: Applied MathematicsRelease Year: 2023 Missing Information?Please contact us if any details are missing and where possible we will add the information to our listing.

Price: 38.76 USD

Location: NN10 6GL

End Time: 2025-01-22T23:23:40.000Z

Shipping Cost: 0 USD