Description: Israel's Intelligence Assessment Before the Yom Kippur War : Disentangling Deception and Distraction, Paperback by Shalev, Aryeh, ISBN 1845196368, ISBN-13 9781845196363, Like New Used, Free shipping in the US Israel's flawed intelligence assessment in October 1973 has been studied intensively and been the subject of much public and professional debate. This book adds a unique dimension to previously disclosed material, as its author served as head of the Research Branch of Israeli Military Intelligence on the eve of and during the Yom Kippur War and as such was responsible for the national intelligence assessment at the time. Drawing on his personal records, and on interviews and extensive research conducted in the intervening decades, Aryeh Shalev examines the preconceptions and common beliefs that prevailed among Israeli intelligence officials and ultimately contributed to their flawed assessment: the excessive self-confidence in Israel's prowess, particularly in the aftermath of the Six Day War; the confidence that any surprise attack could be repelled with the regular army until the reserves were mobilised; the accepted profile of Sadat as a weak leader with limited powers and initiative; and the belief in Israel's correct understanding of Egyptian and Syrian operational plans . . . Beyond explaining where Israeli intelligence erred, th probes expectations of military intelligence in general and the relationship between military and political assessments. It considers what kind of assessment an intelligence branch is capable of producing with a great degree of certainty, and conversely, what kind of assessment it should not be asked to produce. Based on the intelligence failure of the Yom Kippur War, this book also reviews possible organisational changes and methodological improvements to guard as much as possible against surprise attacks in the future, relevant not only to Israel's circumstances but to all countries with enemies capable of launching an attack. Published in association with the Institute for National Strategic Studies.
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Book Title: Israel's Intelligence Assessment before the Yom Kippur War : Disentangling Deception and Distraction
Item Length: 9in
Item Height: 0.7in
Item Width: 6in
Author: Aryeh Shalev
Format: Trade Paperback
Language: English
Topic: Public Policy / Military Policy, Intelligence & Espionage, General, Military / Wars & Conflicts (Other), Middle East / Israel & Palestine, Social Psychology, Security (National & International), Middle East / General
Publisher: Liverpool University Press
Publication Year: 2014
Genre: Psychology, History, Political Science
Item Weight: 17.1 Oz
Number of Pages: 297 Pages
