Description: Probably Overthinking It by Allen B. Downey Estimated delivery 3-12 business days Format Hardcover Condition Brand New Description An essential guide to the ways data can improve decision making. Statistics are everywhere: in news reports, at the doctors office, and in every sort of forecast, from the stock market to the weather report. Blogger, teacher, and computer scientist Allen B. Downey knows well that we have both an innate ability to understand statistics and to be fooled by them. As he makes clear in this accessible introduction to statistical thinking, the stakes are big. Simple misunderstandings have led to incorrect patient prognoses, underestimated the likelihood of large earthquakes, hindered social justice efforts, and resulted in dubious policy decisions. There are right and wrong ways to look at numbers, and Downey will help you see which is which. Probably Overthinking It uses real data to delve into real examples with real consequences, drawing on cases from health campaigns, political beliefs, chess rankings, and more. He lays out common pitfalls—like the base rate fallacy, length-biased sampling, and Simpsons paradox—and shines a light on what we learn when we interpret data correctly, and what goes wrong when we dont. Using data visualizations instead of equations, he builds understanding from the basics to help you recognize errors—whether in your own thinking or media reports. Even if you have never studied statistics—or if you have and forgot everything you learned—this book will offer new insight into the methods and measurements that help us understand the world. Author Biography Allen B. Downey is a curriculum designer at the online learning company Brilliant and professor emeritus of computer science at Olin College. He is the author of Think Python, Think Bayes, and Think Stats, among other books. He writes about statistics and related topics on his blog, Probably Overthinking It. Details ISBN 0226822583 ISBN-13 9780226822587 Title Probably Overthinking It Author Allen B. Downey Format Hardcover Year 2023 Pages 256 Publisher The University of Chicago Press GE_Item_ID:157543177; About Us Grand Eagle Retail is the ideal place for all your shopping needs! With fast shipping, low prices, friendly service and over 1,000,000 in stock items - you're bound to find what you want, at a price you'll love! Shipping & Delivery Times Shipping is FREE to any address in USA. Please view eBay estimated delivery times at the top of the listing. Deliveries are made by either USPS or Courier. We are unable to deliver faster than stated. International deliveries will take 1-6 weeks. NOTE: We are unable to offer combined shipping for multiple items purchased. This is because our items are shipped from different locations. Returns If you wish to return an item, please consult our Returns Policy as below: Please contact Customer Services and request "Return Authorisation" before you send your item back to us. Unauthorised returns will not be accepted. Returns must be postmarked within 4 business days of authorisation and must be in resellable condition. Returns are shipped at the customer's risk. We cannot take responsibility for items which are lost or damaged in transit. For purchases where a shipping charge was paid, there will be no refund of the original shipping charge. Additional Questions If you have any questions please feel free to Contact Us. Categories Baby Books Electronics Fashion Games Health & Beauty Home, Garden & Pets Movies Music Sports & Outdoors Toys
Price: 25.31 USD
Location: Fairfield, Ohio
End Time: 2025-01-12T03:08:17.000Z
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Restocking Fee: No
Return shipping will be paid by: Buyer
All returns accepted: Returns Accepted
Item must be returned within: 30 Days
Refund will be given as: Money Back
ISBN-13: 9780226822587
Book Title: Probably Overthinking It
Number of Pages: 256 Pages
Language: English
Publication Name: Probably Overthinking It : How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Publication Year: 2023
Item Height: 0.9 in
Subject: Probability & Statistics / General, General
Type: Textbook
Item Weight: 17 Oz
Subject Area: Mathematics
Author: Allen B. Downey
Item Length: 9 in
Item Width: 6 in
Format: Hardcover
